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Football · Eliteserien · Norway

Molde vs Fredrikstad

Sunday, 25 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Molde favourites at 62% (Fredrikstad 21%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.52 to 1.42, Molde sitting 3rd in the table to Fredrikstad's 8th, 8 wins in Molde's last 10 matches to 5 for Fredrikstad and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It puts over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 64%.

Key facts

  • Molde scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
  • Fredrikstad scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
  • Molde have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
  • Molde average 3 goals a game at home.
  • They last met on 13 Sept 2025, when Fredrikstad won 2-1.
Norway•Eliteserien
Rank 3 · 40 pts
W6d
D13d
W20d
L35d
W38d
W41d
W48d
W55d
W63d
W69d
8W · 1D · 1L
vs
Rank 8 · 29 pts
L7d
D13d
D34d
W38d
D41d
L50d
W55d
W63d
W69d
W77d
5W · 3D · 2L
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 21:15
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 5-2-3
Last 10 matches
1010
42/1120/10
4.202.00
1.101.00
10/1010/10
9/103/10
6/107/10
4/102/10
4/103/10
0/100/10
10/107/10
9/104/10
6/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Molde at homeFredrikstad away
56
4/54/6
0/51/6
1/51/6
3.002.67
1.001.00
5/56/6
4/53/6
3/52/6
3/54/6
2/51/6
2/52/6
0/50/6
4/53/6
3/54/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Molde: 2.52
Expected Goals
Fredrikstad: 1.42
Molde
62%
Draw
17%
Fredrikstad
21%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 64%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.2%
1 — Molde
1.45▲
Implied 64%
Edge -2.3%
X
4.90▼
Implied 19%
Edge -2.0%
2 — Fredrikstad
5.60▼
Implied 17%
Edge +4.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Molde · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Molde#3 vs Start#16
6-1W
11 Oct2026
Lillestrom#6 vs Molde#3
2-2D
04 Oct2026
Molde#3 vs Kristiansund#15
3-0W
19 Sept2026
Molde#3 vs Aalesund#14
1-2L
16 Sept2026
Trygg/lade vs Molde#3
0-5W
13 Sept2026
Hamkam#12 vs Molde#3
1-5W
06 Sept2026
Molde#3 vs Kfum Oslo#9
2-0W
30 Aug2026
Valerenga#11 vs Molde#3
3-4W
22 Aug2026
Midsund vs Molde#3
0-11W
16 Aug2026
Molde#3 vs Tromso#4
3-2W
Team 2 Form
Fredrikstad · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Viking#2 vs Fredrikstad#8
3-2L
11 Oct2026
Fredrikstad#8 vs Tromso#4
1-1D
20 Sept2026
Valerenga#11 vs Fredrikstad#8
1-1D
16 Sept2026
Stjordals Blink vs Fredrikstad#8
0-1W
13 Sept2026
Fredrikstad#8 vs Sarpsborg 08#10
1-1D
04 Sept2026
Fredrikstad#8 vs Bodo/glimt#1
1-2L
30 Aug2026
Lillestrom#6 vs Fredrikstad#8
1-4W
22 Aug2026
Eidsvold if vs Fredrikstad#8
1-7W
16 Aug2026
Fredrikstad#8 vs Kristiansund#15
1-0W
08 Aug2026
Start#16 vs Fredrikstad#8
0-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
13 Sept2025
Molde#3 vs Fredrikstad#8
1-2•
12 Jul2025
Fredrikstad#8 vs Molde#3
4-2•
07 Dec2024
Fredrikstad#8 vs Molde#3
0-0•
14 Sept2024
Molde#3 vs Fredrikstad#8
6-1•
13 Jul2024
Fredrikstad#8 vs Molde#3
0-0•
18 Nov2012
Fredrikstad#8 vs Molde#3
0-2•
16 May2012
Molde#3 vs Fredrikstad#8
2-0•
17 Sept2011
Fredrikstad#8 vs Molde#3
0-1•
14 Aug2011
Fredrikstad#8 vs Molde#3
3-2•
19 May2011
Molde#3 vs Fredrikstad#8
2-1•

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