Football · Vysshaya Liga · Belarus
ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes ML Vitebsk favourites at 82% (FC Minsk 5%, draw 13%). That rests on expected goals of 2.26 to 0.36, ML Vitebsk sitting 2nd in the table to FC Minsk's 8th, 6 wins in ML Vitebsk's last 10 matches to 2 for FC Minsk and 2 wins from the last 3 meetings to 0. Bookmakers give ML Vitebsk about 70% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 47%.
Key facts
- FC Minsk have lost 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 21 Jun 2026, when it finished 2-2.
- FC Minsk concede 2 goals a game away from home.
Belarus•Vysshaya Liga
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 19:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-1-0
Last 10 matches
1010
20/69/15
2.000.90
0.601.50
8/106/10
5/102/10
6/107/10
0/105/10
4/103/10
2/104/10
7/106/10
3/105/10
5/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
ml Vitebsk at homefc Minsk away
55
3/51/5
2/50/5
0/54/5
1.801.40
0.402.00
4/54/5
2/52/5
1/51/5
2/54/5
0/54/5
3/51/5
1/51/5
1/54/5
2/53/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
ml Vitebsk: 2.26
Expected Goals
fc Minsk: 0.36
ml Vitebsk
82%
Draw
13%
fc Minsk
5%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 47%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 11.0%
1 — ML Vitebsk
1.28▼
Implied 70%
Edge +11.6%
X
4.60
Implied 20%
Edge -6.6%
2 — FC Minsk
9.00▲
Implied 10%
Edge -5.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
ml Vitebsk · # = league position now
28 Oct2026
Isloch#3 vs ml Vitebsk#2
1-0L
24 Oct2026
Vitebsk#6 vs ml Vitebsk#2
0-2W
18 Oct2026
ml Vitebsk#2 vs Neman#5
1-0W
15 Oct2026
ml Vitebsk#2 vs Zhodino#9
2-0W
11 Oct2026
fc Gomel#7 vs ml Vitebsk#2
1-5W
18 Sept2026
ml Vitebsk#2 vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk#13
5-1W
13 Sept2026
Dnepr Mogilev#15 vs ml Vitebsk#2
1-1D
06 Sept2026
ml Vitebsk#2 vs Din. Minsk#1
0-0D
02 Sept2026
ml Vitebsk#2 vs Belshina#12
1-1D
29 Aug2026
Dynamo Brest#4 vs ml Vitebsk#2
1-3W
Team 2 Form
fc Minsk · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
fc Minsk#8 vs Baranovici#11
1-3L
17 Oct2026
Isloch#3 vs fc Minsk#8
4-2L
10 Oct2026
fc Minsk#8 vs Zhodino#9
0-1L
03 Oct2026
fc Minsk#8 vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk#13
0-0D
18 Sept2026
Belshina#12 vs fc Minsk#8
2-0L
11 Sept2026
fc Minsk#8 vs Slavia Mozyr#10
1-0W
06 Sept2026
Naftan#16 vs fc Minsk#8
0-3W
30 Aug2026
Bate#14 vs fc Minsk#8
2-1L
21 Aug2026
fc Minsk#8 vs Vitebsk#6
0-1L
15 Aug2026
Neman#5 vs fc Minsk#8
2-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
21 Jun2026
fc Minsk#8 vs ml Vitebsk#2
2-2•
19 Oct2025
ml Vitebsk#2 vs fc Minsk#8
4-1•
25 May2025
fc Minsk#8 vs ml Vitebsk#2
1-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
ml Vitebsk
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