MK Dons vs Luton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Luton favourites at 51% (MK Dons 30%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.09 to 1.59 and 3 wins from the last 3 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 62%. MK Dons won 2-1, against the model's 51% for Luton.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 9 Oct 2018, when Luton won 3-0.