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Football · Allsvenskan · Sweden

Mjallby vs Hammarby

Sunday, 25 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Hammarby favourites at 80% (Mjallby 5%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.06 to 0.33, Hammarby sitting 3rd in the table to Mjallby's 12th and 7 wins in Hammarby's last 10 matches to 1 for Mjallby. Mjallby lead the head-to-head 5-3, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Hammarby about 63% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 34%.

Key facts

  • Hammarby kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
  • They last met on 14 May 2026, when Mjallby won 2-1.
  • Hammarby have scored in all of their last 6 away games.
Sweden•Allsvenskan
Mjallby(5)
Rank 12 · 23 pts
D2d
L6d
W9d
D14d
L18d
L34d
D38d
D43d
L47d
L51d
1W · 4D · 5L
vs
Hammarby(3)
Rank 3 · 46 pts
W6d
L13d
W21d
W34d
W41d
D48d
L55d
W59d
W62d
W69d
7W · 1D · 2L
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 18:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 5-2-3
Last 10 matches
1010
7/1518/6
0.701.80
1.500.60
6/109/10
1/105/10
9/104/10
3/101/10
1/106/10
4/101/10
8/106/10
2/104/10
5/103/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Mjallby at homeHammarby away
56
1/54/6
1/51/6
3/51/6
0.802.00
2.000.67
3/56/6
1/53/6
0/52/6
4/52/6
3/51/6
1/54/6
2/50/6
2/53/6
2/52/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Mjallby: 0.33
Expected Goals
Hammarby: 2.06
Mjallby
5%
Draw
15%
Hammarby
80%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 34%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.8%
1 — Mjallby
5.70
Implied 16%
Edge -11.3%
X
4.50
Implied 21%
Edge -5.6%
2 — Hammarby
1.47
Implied 63%
Edge +16.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Mjallby · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Iberia 1999#29 vs Mjallby#12
1-1D
18 Oct2026
Vasteras sk#6 vs Mjallby#12
1-0L
15 Oct2026
Mjallby#12 vs Inter Escaldes#35
2-0W
10 Oct2026
Mjallby#12 vs Degerfors#14
1-1D
06 Oct2026
Trollhattan vs Mjallby#12
1-0L
20 Sept2026
Mjallby#12 vs Gais#10
0-3L
16 Sept2026
Aik#9 vs Mjallby#12
1-1D
11 Sept2026
Hacken#4 vs Mjallby#12
1-1D
07 Sept2026
Mjallby#12 vs Goteborg#8
1-4L
03 Sept2026
Mjallby#12 vs Djurgarden#2
0-2L
Team 2 Form
Hammarby · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Halmstad#16 vs Hammarby#3
0-1W
11 Oct2026
Hammarby#3 vs Djurgarden#2
0-1L
03 Oct2026
Hammarby#3 vs Vasteras sk#6
1-0W
20 Sept2026
Degerfors#14 vs Hammarby#3
0-1W
13 Sept2026
Hammarby#3 vs Brommapojkarna#11
3-1W
06 Sept2026
Orgryte#15 vs Hammarby#3
1-1D
30 Aug2026
Aik#9 vs Hammarby#3
3-2L
26 Aug2026
Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby#3
0-3W
23 Aug2026
Hammarby#3 vs Gais#10
2-0W
16 Aug2026
Kalmar#13 vs Hammarby#3
0-4W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
14 May2026
Mjallby#12 vs Hammarby#3
2-1•
04 Apr2026
Hammarby#3 vs Mjallby#12
3-0•
22 May2025
Hammarby#3 vs Mjallby#12
1-2•
18 Apr2025
Mjallby#12 vs Hammarby#3
3-1•
28 Jul2024
Hammarby#3 vs Mjallby#12
3-0•
15 May2024
Mjallby#12 vs Hammarby#3
3-0•
04 Mar2024
Hammarby#3 vs Mjallby#12
1-1•
27 Aug2023
Mjallby#12 vs Hammarby#3
0-3•
09 May2023
Hammarby#3 vs Mjallby#12
0-0•
18 Mar2023
Mjallby#12 vs Hammarby#3
1-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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