Middlesbrough vs Norwich

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Middlesbrough favourites at 52% (Norwich 27%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.83 to 1.26 and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 64%. Middlesbrough won 4-3, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 31 Jan 2026, when Middlesbrough won 1-0.