Middlesbrough vs Lincoln

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Middlesbrough favourites at 62% (Lincoln 19%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.96 to 0.95. Lincoln come in with the better recent form (6 wins from 10 to 3), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 51%. Middlesbrough won 2-1, as the model expected.