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Football · USL Championship · USA

Miami FC vs Tampa Bay

Sunday, 26 July 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Miami FC2-3Tampa Bay
1ST HALF
1-2
2ND HALF
1-1

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Tampa Bay favourites at 70% (Miami FC 13%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.18 to 0.80, 6 wins in Tampa Bay's last 10 matches to 3 for Miami FC and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 53%. Tampa Bay won 3-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 17 May 2026, when Tampa Bay won 4-1.
Usa•USL Championship
L109d
W116d
W120d
D126d
L137d
D148d
L162d
W169d
L172d
L176d
3W · 2D · 5L
vs
D113d
W120d
L127d
W141d
L148d
D151d
W155d
W162d
W169d
W172d
6W · 2D · 2L
Sunday, 26 July 2026 at 02:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Miami FC2-3Tampa Bay
1ST HALF
1-2
2ND HALF
1-1
H2H: 0-1-9
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Miami fc at homeTampa Bay away
55
2/54/5
1/51/5
2/50/5
2.001.60
2.400.20
5/55/5
3/53/5
1/50/5
4/51/5
3/50/5
1/54/5
0/50/5
3/50/5
4/51/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Miami fc: 0.8
Expected Goals
Tampa Bay: 2.18
Miami fc
13%
Draw
17%
Tampa Bay
70%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 53%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Miami fc · # = league position now
23 Jul2026
Colorado Springs#5 vs Miami fc#8
2-0L
16 Jul2026
Miami fc#8 vs Indy Eleven#9
2-0W
12 Jul2026
Sarasota Paradise#11 vs Miami fc#8
0-5W
06 Jul2026
Miami fc#8 vs Birmingham#11
1-1D
25 Jun2026
Miami fc#8 vs Orange County sc#9
2-4L
14 Jun2026
Oakland Roots#10 vs Miami fc#8
0-0D
31 May2026
Pittsburgh#5 vs Miami fc#8
2-0L
24 May2026
Miami fc#8 vs Louisville City#4
4-3W
21 May2026
Detroit#3 vs Miami fc#8
2-1L
17 May2026
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
1-4L
Team 2 Form
Tampa Bay · # = league position now
19 Jul2026
Loudoun#10 vs Tampa Bay#1
1-1D
12 Jul2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs fc Naples#8
2-0W
05 Jul2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Lexington#4
1-4L
21 Jun2026
Brooklyn#12 vs Tampa Bay#1
0-2W
14 Jun2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Hartford Athletic#6
0-1L
11 Jun2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Charleston#2
2-2D
07 Jun2026
Sporting Jax#13 vs Tampa Bay#1
0-2W
31 May2026
Louisville City#4 vs Tampa Bay#1
0-2W
24 May2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Phoenix Rising#8
3-0W
21 May2026
New Mexico#1 vs Tampa Bay#1
0-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
17 May2026
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
1-4•
15 Jun2025
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
2-1•
27 Apr2025
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
3-3•
23 Mar2025
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
1-2•
25 Aug2024
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
2-0•
12 Apr2024
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
2-5•
27 Aug2023
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
0-2•
09 Apr2023
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
2-0•
23 Oct2022
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
3-1•
12 Jun2022
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
1-2•

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