Football · Ligue 2 · France
Metz vs Pau FC
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Pau FC favourites at 46% (Metz 33%, draw 21%). That rests on 6 wins in Pau FC's last 10 matches to 3 for Metz. It puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 62%.
Key facts
- Pau FC have won 5 matches in a row.
- Metz are 8th in Ligue 2 on 14 points from 10 games; Pau FC are 5th on 17.
- Metz have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- They last met on 26 Apr 2025, when Pau FC won 2-1.
France•Ligue 2
vs
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 1-2-1
Last 10 matches
1010
16/1416/11
1.601.60
1.401.10
8/108/10
5/106/10
9/108/10
3/103/10
1/102/10
2/102/10
8/107/10
5/105/10
8/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Metz at homePau fc away
55
3/53/5
2/51/5
0/51/5
2.401.60
1.401.20
5/54/5
4/53/5
2/51/5
5/54/5
2/52/5
0/51/5
0/51/5
4/53/5
5/53/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Metz: 1.42
Expected Goals
Pau fc: 1.7
Metz
33%
Draw
21%
Pau fc
46%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 62%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.9%
1 — Metz
1.97▲
Implied 47%
Edge -14.0%
X
3.50▲
Implied 26%
Edge -5.5%
2 — Pau FC
3.50▼
Implied 26%
Edge +19.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Metz · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Dunkerque#10 vs Metz#8
1-1D
17 Oct2026
Metz#8 vs Sochaux#12
3-2W
12 Oct2026
Dijon#9 vs Metz#8
4-2L
19 Sept2026
Metz#8 vs st Etienne#1
2-2D
14 Sept2026
Red Star#6 vs Metz#8
1-0L
05 Sept2026
Metz#8 vs Rodez#14
4-1W
29 Aug2026
Annecy#7 vs Metz#8
1-1D
22 Aug2026
Metz#8 vs Laval#18
1-1D
14 Aug2026
Grenoble#16 vs Metz#8
0-0D
08 Aug2026
Metz#8 vs Guingamp#11
2-1W
Team 2 Form
Pau fc · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Pau fc#5 vs Grenoble#16
2-1W
16 Oct2026
Guingamp#11 vs Pau fc#5
1-2W
09 Oct2026
Pau fc#5 vs Laval#18
3-2W
03 Oct2026
Toulouse#11 vs Pau fc#5
2-3W
18 Sept2026
Pau fc#5 vs Dunkerque#10
2-0W
11 Sept2026
Montpellier#2 vs Pau fc#5
1-0L
04 Sept2026
Pau fc#5 vs Sochaux#12
1-1D
28 Aug2026
Rodez#14 vs Pau fc#5
2-2D
21 Aug2026
Pau fc#5 vs Nancy#3
0-1L
14 Aug2026
Dijon#9 vs Pau fc#5
0-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
26 Apr2025
Pau fc#5 vs Metz#8
2-1•
04 Jan2025
Metz#8 vs Pau fc#5
0-0•
08 Apr2023
Pau fc#5 vs Metz#8
1-1•
01 Oct2022
Metz#8 vs Pau fc#5
1-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Metz
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