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Football · Super League · Uzbekistan

Mashal Muborak vs Neftchi Fargona

Thursday, 03 December 2026

Match preview

The model makes Neftchi Fargona favourites at 86% (Mashal Muborak 4%, draw 10%). That rests on expected goals of 2.72 to 0.41, Neftchi Fargona sitting 1st in the table to Mashal Muborak's 16th, 5 wins in Neftchi Fargona's last 10 matches to 0 for Mashal Muborak and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 34%.

Key facts

Mashal Muborak have lost 10 matches in a row.
Neftchi Fargona scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
They last met on 28 Feb 2026, when Neftchi Fargona won 3-0.
Neftchi Fargona have scored in all of their last 5 away games.

Uzbekistan•Super League

Mashal Muborak(2)

Rank 16 · 4 pts

L3d

L12d

L19d

L25d

L45d

L53d

L59d

L69d

L76d

L81d

0W · 0D · 10L

Neftchi Fargona(6)

Rank 1 · 58 pts

D1d

L8d

W11d

L14d

W18d

L22d

D27d

W44d

W50d

W55d

5W · 2D · 3L

Thursday, 03 December 2026 at 19:00

H2H: 2-2-6

Last 10 matches

1010

4/2419/17

0.401.90

2.401.70

3/1010/10

1/106/10

10/108/10

8/106/10

0/102/10

7/100/10

8/108/10

6/108/10

3/108/10

Home & away form · from last 10 matches

Mashal Muborak at homeNeftchi Fargona away

0/53/5

0/51/5

5/51/5

0.202.20

1.801.60

1/55/5

0/53/5

0/52/5

5/54/5

3/53/5

0/51/5

4/50/5

2/54/5

1/54/5

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

Mashal Muborak: 0.41

Expected Goals

Neftchi Fargona: 2.72

Mashal Muborak

Draw

10%

Neftchi Fargona

86%

Over 2.5: 62%

BTTS: 34%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Bookmaker odds not available for this match.

Team 1 Form

Mashal Muborak · # = league position now

31 Oct2026

Mashal Muborak#16 vs Din. Samarkand#9

0-3L

22 Oct2026

Bunyodkor#13 vs Mashal Muborak#16

2-1L

15 Oct2026

Mashal Muborak#16 vs Okmk#4

0-1L

09 Oct2026

Kokand 1912#14 vs Mashal Muborak#16

3-0L

19 Sept2026

Mashal Muborak#16 vs Pakhtakor#2

1-2L

11 Sept2026

Lok. Tashkent#7 vs Mashal Muborak#16

3-0L

05 Sept2026

Sogdiana#11 vs Mashal Muborak#16

5-2L

26 Aug2026

Mashal Muborak#16 vs Navbahor Namangan#3

0-2L

19 Aug2026

Mashal Muborak#16 vs Andijan#10

0-1L

14 Aug2026

Qizilqum#8 vs Mashal Muborak#16

2-0L

Team 2 Form

Neftchi Fargona · # = league position now

02 Nov2026

Tractor vs Neftchi Fargona#1

2-2D

26 Oct2026

Neftchi Fargona#1 vs al Ittihad

1-2L

23 Oct2026

Pakhtakor#2 vs Neftchi Fargona#1

1-3W

20 Oct2026

Neftchi Fargona#1 vs Lok. Tashkent#7

2-4L

16 Oct2026

Kokand 1912#14 vs Neftchi Fargona#1

2-4W

12 Oct2026

al Nassr#3 vs Neftchi Fargona#1

3-1L

07 Oct2026

Neftchi Fargona#1 vs Xorazm Urganch#15

2-2D

20 Sept2026

Lok. Tashkent#7 vs Neftchi Fargona#1

0-1W

14 Sept2026

Neftchi Fargona#1 vs al Quwa al Jawiya

1-0W

09 Sept2026

Neftchi Fargona#1 vs Termez Surkhon#12

2-1W

Head-to-Head

Last 10 · # = league position now

28 Feb2026