Maritimo vs FC Porto

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made FC Porto favourites at 89% (Maritimo 2%, draw 9%). That rests on expected goals of 2.52 to 0.17, 9 wins in FC Porto's last 10 matches to 3 for Maritimo and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 38%. FC Porto won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Maritimo have gone 5 matches without a win.
• FC Porto have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 1 Feb 2023, when FC Porto won 2-0.