Maritimo (POR) vs Estrela Calheta (POR)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Maritimo (POR) favourites at 58% (Estrela Calheta (POR) 21%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.78 to 0.97 and 3 wins in Maritimo (POR)'s last 7 matches to 1 for Estrela Calheta (POR). It put over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 45%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 21%.

Key facts before the match

• Estrela Calheta (POR) have gone 6 matches without a win.