Mantova (ITA) vs Carpi (ITA)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Mantova (ITA) favourites at 64% (Carpi (ITA) 19%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.42 to 1.25 and 7 wins in Mantova (ITA)'s last 10 matches to 2 for Carpi (ITA). It put over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 59%. Carpi (ITA) won 1-0, against the model's 64% for Mantova (ITA).

Key facts before the match

• Mantova (ITA) have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 1 Feb 2021, when Carpi (ITA) won 2-0.