Mansfield (ENG) vs Derby (ENG)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Mansfield (ENG) favourites at 50% (Derby (ENG) 30%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.97 to 1.50. It put over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 66%. Derby (ENG) won 3-1, against the model's 50% for Mansfield (ENG).

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 4 Oct 2022, when it finished 1-1.
• 4 of the last 5 meetings had three or more goals.