Mannheim (GER) vs Mainz (GER)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Mainz (GER) favourites at 68% (Mannheim (GER) 16%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.61 to 1.20, 7 wins in Mainz (GER)'s last 10 matches to 4 for Mannheim (GER) and 5 wins from the last 7 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 57%. Mainz (GER) won 3-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 7 Feb 2003, when Mainz (GER) won 5-1.