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Football · Africa Cup of Nations · Africa

Mali vs Rwanda

Wednesday, 11 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Mali favourites at 41% (Rwanda 31%, draw 28%). That rests on 3 wins from the last 4 meetings to 0. Rwanda come in with the better recent form (5 wins from 10 to 2), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It puts over 2.5 goals at 34% and both teams scoring at 40%.

Key facts

  • Rwanda are unbeaten in 5 matches.
  • Rwanda failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away games.
  • Mali are 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations on 6 points from 2 games; Rwanda are 1st on 6.
  • They last met on 11 Nov 2021, when Mali won 3-0.
Africa•Africa Cup of Nations
Mali(3)
Rank 2 · 6 pts
D22d
W27d
W31d
L144d
D209d
L290d
D296d
D301d
D304d
D308d
2W · 6D · 2L
vs
Rank 1 · 6 pts
D21d
W27d
W31d
W210d
W213d
L377d
L381d
W412d
L415d
L504d
5W · 1D · 4L
Wednesday, 11 November 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 3-1-0
Last 10 matches
1010
8/812/9
0.801.20
0.800.90
6/105/10
1/104/10
7/106/10
1/102/10
3/104/10
4/105/10
6/106/10
1/104/10
5/102/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Mali at homeRwanda away
45
1/42/5
2/40/5
1/43/5
1.250.60
1.001.40
3/42/5
1/41/5
1/40/5
4/44/5
0/42/5
0/41/5
1/43/5
1/42/5
3/41/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Mali: 1.09
Expected Goals
Rwanda: 0.91
Mali
41%
Draw
28%
Rwanda
31%
Over 2.5: 34%
BTTS: 40%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Team 1 Form
Mali · # = league position now
04 Oct2026
Morocco#1 vs Mali#2
1-1D
29 Sept2026
Liberia#4 vs Mali#2
0-1W
25 Sept2026
Mali#2 vs Cape Verde#3
3-1W
04 Jun2026
Iran#3 vs Mali#2
2-0L
31 Mar2026
Russia vs Mali#2
0-0D
09 Jan2026
Mali#2 vs Senegal#1
0-1L
03 Jan2026
Mali#2 vs Tunisia#3
1-1D
29 Dec2025
Comoros#2 vs Mali#2
0-0D
26 Dec2025
Morocco#1 vs Mali#2
1-1D
22 Dec2025
Mali#2 vs Zambia#2
1-1D
Team 2 Form
Rwanda · # = league position now
05 Oct2026
Rwanda#1 vs Kenya#4
0-0D
29 Sept2026
Cape Verde#3 vs Rwanda#1
1-2W
25 Sept2026
Rwanda#1 vs Liberia#4
3-1W
30 Mar2026
Rwanda#1 vs Estonia
2-0W
27 Mar2026
Rwanda#1 vs Grenada
4-0W
14 Oct2025
South Africa#1 vs Rwanda#1
3-0L
10 Oct2025
Rwanda#1 vs Benin#1
0-1L
09 Sept2025
Zimbabwe#2 vs Rwanda#1
0-1W
06 Sept2025
Nigeria#2 vs Rwanda#1
1-0L
09 Jun2025
Algeria#1 vs Rwanda#1
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
11 Nov2021
Rwanda#1 vs Mali#2
0-3•
01 Sept2021
Mali#2 vs Rwanda#1
1-0•
09 Jun2013
Mali#2 vs Rwanda#1
1-1•
24 Mar2013
Rwanda#1 vs Mali#2
1-2•

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