Malaga vs Real Sociedad

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Real Sociedad favourites at 64% (Malaga 17%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.04 to 0.93 and 4 wins in Real Sociedad's last 10 matches to 0 for Malaga. It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 53%. Real Sociedad won 5-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Malaga have gone 10 matches without a win.
• They last met on 7 Jan 2024, when Real Sociedad won 1-0.
• Only 2 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.