Mainz (GER) vs Bournemouth (ENG)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Mainz (GER) favourites at 48% (Bournemouth (ENG) 33%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.27 to 1.85 and 8 wins in Mainz (GER)'s last 10 matches to 6 for Bournemouth (ENG). It put over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams scoring at 68%. Mainz (GER) won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Bournemouth (ENG) are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• Mainz (GER) are unbeaten in 8 matches.