Luzern vs Thun

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Luzern favourites at 57% (Thun 24%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.20 to 1.36, 7 wins in Luzern's last 10 matches to 2 for Thun and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams scoring at 76%. Thun won 3-1, against the model's 57% for Luzern.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 28 Feb 2026, when Thun won 2-1.