Luton vs Notts County

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Luton favourites at 62% (Notts County 17%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.77 to 0.79, 7 wins in Luton's last 10 matches to 3 for Notts County and 4 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams scoring at 41%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 21%.

Key facts before the match

• Notts County have gone 6 matches without a win.
• They last met on 28 Jul 2018, when Luton won 2-0.
• Only 2 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.