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Football · League One · England

Luton vs Doncaster

Tuesday, 27 October 2026

Postponed. Source reports: POSTPONED.

Match preview

The model makes Luton favourites at 64% (Doncaster 16%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.80 to 0.74 and Luton sitting 11th in the table to Doncaster's 19th. Bookmakers give Luton about 60% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 51%.

Key facts

  • They last met on 10 Mar 2026, when it finished 1-1.
England•League One
Rank 11 · 15 pts
W0d
W4d
L7d
W14d
D21d
W32d
L35d
L44d
D49d
W52d
5W · 2D · 3L
vs
Rank 19 · 9 pts
W0d
L4d
L7d
W14d
W18d
W35d
L42d
L46d
L49d
D53d
4W · 1D · 5L
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 22:45
Postponed. Source reports: POSTPONED.
H2H: 3-5-2
Last 10 matches
1010
20/1011/12
2.001.10
1.001.20
9/108/10
5/103/10
8/106/10
2/104/10
2/104/10
1/102/10
9/107/10
6/103/10
7/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Luton at homeDoncaster away
63
4/61/3
1/60/3
1/62/3
2.171.00
0.671.00
5/62/3
4/61/3
1/60/3
4/62/3
0/61/3
2/61/3
1/61/3
3/61/3
3/61/3
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Luton: 1.8
Expected Goals
Doncaster: 0.74
Luton
64%
Draw
20%
Doncaster
16%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 51%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.8%
1 — Luton
1.55▲
Implied 60%
Edge +4.1%
X
4.30▲
Implied 22%
Edge -1.6%
2 — Doncaster
5.00▼
Implied 19%
Edge -2.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Luton · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Luton#11 vs Leicester#9
2-1W
20 Oct2026
Luton#11 vs Barnsley#23
2-1W
17 Oct2026
mk Dons#20 vs Luton#11
2-1L
10 Oct2026
Wycombe#15 vs Luton#11
1-4W
03 Oct2026
Colchester#3 vs Luton#11
1-1D
22 Sept2026
Luton#11 vs Ipswich U21#4
6-0W
19 Sept2026
Luton#11 vs Bradford City#3
0-1L
10 Sept2026
Stevenage#10 vs Luton#11
2-1L
05 Sept2026
Luton#11 vs Leyton Orient#13
1-1D
02 Sept2026
Luton#11 vs Stockport County#2
2-0W
Team 2 Form
Doncaster · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Doncaster#19 vs Sheffield Wed#7
2-0W
20 Oct2026
Doncaster#19 vs Stockport County#2
0-2L
17 Oct2026
Leicester#9 vs Doncaster#19
2-1L
10 Oct2026
Doncaster#19 vs Burton#14
1-0W
06 Oct2026
Doncaster#19 vs Liverpool U21#3
1-0W
19 Sept2026
Peterborough#21 vs Doncaster#19
0-2W
12 Sept2026
Afc Wimbledon#16 vs Doncaster#19
1-0L
08 Sept2026
Doncaster#19 vs Huddersfield#1
1-3L
05 Sept2026
Doncaster#19 vs Plymouth#5
2-3L
01 Sept2026
Doncaster#19 vs Notts County#18
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
10 Mar2026
Doncaster#19 vs Luton#11
1-1•
27 Sept2025
Luton#11 vs Doncaster#19
1-0•
23 Mar2019
Luton#11 vs Doncaster#19
4-0•
08 Sept2018
Doncaster#19 vs Luton#11
2-1•
18 Feb2017
Doncaster#19 vs Luton#11
1-1•
24 Sept2016
Luton#11 vs Doncaster#19
3-1•
26 Apr2008
Doncaster#19 vs Luton#11
2-0•
06 Oct2007
Luton#11 vs Doncaster#19
1-1•
07 May2005
Doncaster#19 vs Luton#11
3-3•
27 Nov2004
Luton#11 vs Doncaster#19
1-1•

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