Lugano vs St. Gallen

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lugano favourites at 73% (St. Gallen 12%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.46 to 0.85 and 7 wins in Lugano's last 10 matches to 4 for St. Gallen. St. Gallen lead the head-to-head 5-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 60%. Lugano won 4-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Lugano are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• They last met on 10 May 2026, when St. Gallen won 2-1.