Lugano vs Luzern

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lugano favourites at 77% (Luzern 11%, draw 12%). That rests on expected goals of 2.96 to 1.03, 7 wins in Lugano's last 10 matches to 4 for Luzern and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams scoring at 63%. Lugano won 4-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 7 Mar 2026, when Luzern won 3-1.