Lower Breck vs Chester

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lower Breck favourites at 58% (Chester 22%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.86 to 1.03 and 6 wins in Lower Breck's last 10 matches to 4 for Chester. It put over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 48%. Chester won 2-1, against the model's 58% for Lower Breck.

Key facts before the match

• Chester have gone 5 matches without a win.