Louisville City vs Birmingham

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Louisville City favourites at 56% (Birmingham 22%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.64 to 0.92, 4 wins in Louisville City's last 10 matches to 2 for Birmingham and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 56%. Louisville City won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 4 Jun 2026, when it finished 1-1.