Lorient vs Toulouse

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lorient favourites at 55% (Toulouse 22%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.58 to 0.87 and 5 wins in Lorient's last 10 matches to 3 for Toulouse. Toulouse lead the head-to-head 4-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 51%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 23%.

Key facts before the match

• Toulouse have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 21 Mar 2026, when Toulouse won 1-0.