Football · Ligue 1 · France
Lorient vs Brest
Monday, 02 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Lorient favourites at 44% (Brest 32%, draw 24%). That rests on Lorient sitting 9th in the table to Brest's 13th. Brest lead the head-to-head 5-3, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Lorient about 39% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 55%.
Key facts
- Lorient kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 7 Feb 2026, when Brest won 2-0.
France•Ligue 1
vs
Monday, 02 November 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-2-5
Last 10 matches
1010
9/1216/16
0.901.60
1.201.60
8/108/10
1/105/10
5/1010/10
5/106/10
5/100/10
2/102/10
5/109/10
5/107/10
5/108/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Lorient at homeBrest away
45
2/41/5
1/42/5
1/42/5
1.251.20
1.001.60
4/44/5
1/42/5
0/40/5
2/45/5
2/43/5
2/40/5
0/41/5
2/43/5
2/44/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Lorient: 1.44
Expected Goals
Brest: 1.17
Lorient
44%
Draw
24%
Brest
32%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.3%
1 — Lorient
2.45▼
Implied 39%
Edge +5.2%
X
3.40▼
Implied 28%
Edge -3.9%
2 — Brest
2.85▲
Implied 33%
Edge -1.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Lorient · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Angers#14 vs Lorient#9
0-0D
18 Oct2026
Lorient#9 vs Monaco#4
1-0W
10 Oct2026
Lorient#9 vs Paris fc#6
1-0W
19 Sept2026
le Mans#15 vs Lorient#9
2-1L
12 Sept2026
Lorient#9 vs Toulouse#11
2-2D
05 Sept2026
Lens#7 vs Lorient#9
0-1W
29 Aug2026
Lorient#9 vs Troyes#17
1-2L
22 Aug2026
Nice#10 vs Lorient#9
0-0D
15 Aug2026
Elversberg#8 vs Lorient#9
4-1L
08 Aug2026
Angers#14 vs Lorient#9
2-1L
Team 2 Form
Brest · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Brest#13 vs Nice#10
1-2L
17 Oct2026
Lille#3 vs Brest#13
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Brest#13 vs Angers#14
5-1W
03 Oct2026
Brest#13 vs Monza#15
2-2D
20 Sept2026
Auxerre#12 vs Brest#13
2-1L
13 Sept2026
Brest#13 vs Psg#1
0-1L
05 Sept2026
le Havre#18 vs Brest#13
1-2W
29 Aug2026
Brest#13 vs Toulouse#11
2-2D
22 Aug2026
le Mans#15 vs Brest#13
2-2D
16 Aug2026
Nottingham#18 vs Brest#13
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
07 Feb2026
Brest#13 vs Lorient#9
2-0•
19 Oct2025
Lorient#9 vs Brest#13
3-3•
20 Jul2024
Lorient#9 vs Brest#13
1-1•
31 Mar2024
Lorient#9 vs Brest#13
0-1•
20 Dec2023
Brest#13 vs Lorient#9
4-0•
07 May2023
Lorient#9 vs Brest#13
2-1•
09 Oct2022
Brest#13 vs Lorient#9
1-2•
16 Jul2022
Brest#13 vs Lorient#9
1-0•
27 Feb2022
Brest#13 vs Lorient#9
0-1•
07 Nov2021
Lorient#9 vs Brest#13
1-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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