Football · Ligue 1 · France
Lorient vs Brest
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Lorient favourites at 52% (Brest 27%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.75 to 1.17, Lorient sitting 7th in the table to Brest's 11th and 4 wins in Lorient's last 10 matches to 2 for Brest. Brest lead the head-to-head 5-3, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Lorient about 36% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 59%.
Key facts
- Lorient have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- They last met on 7 Feb 2026, when Brest won 2-0.
France•Ligue 1
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-2-5
Last 10 matches
1010
14/1316/16
1.401.60
1.301.60
9/108/10
2/105/10
6/1010/10
5/106/10
4/100/10
1/102/10
6/109/10
6/107/10
6/108/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Lorient at homeBrest away
55
3/51/5
1/52/5
1/52/5
2.001.20
1.001.60
5/54/5
2/52/5
1/50/5
3/55/5
2/53/5
2/50/5
0/51/5
3/53/5
3/54/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Lorient: 1.75
Expected Goals
Brest: 1.17
Lorient
52%
Draw
21%
Brest
27%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 59%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.5%
1 — Lorient
2.60▼
Implied 36%
Edge +15.5%
X
3.50▼
Implied 27%
Edge -6.1%
2 — Brest
2.60▲
Implied 36%
Edge -9.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Lorient · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Lorient#7 vs Monaco#5
1-0W
10 Oct2026
Lorient#7 vs Paris fc#3
1-0W
19 Sept2026
le Mans#16 vs Lorient#7
2-1L
12 Sept2026
Lorient#7 vs Toulouse#12
2-2D
05 Sept2026
Lens#9 vs Lorient#7
0-1W
29 Aug2026
Lorient#7 vs Troyes#17
1-2L
22 Aug2026
Nice#8 vs Lorient#7
0-0D
15 Aug2026
Elversberg#6 vs Lorient#7
4-1L
08 Aug2026
Angers#15 vs Lorient#7
2-1L
04 Aug2026
Lorient#7 vs Unfp
5-1W
Team 2 Form
Brest · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Brest#11 vs Nice#8
1-2L
17 Oct2026
Lille#4 vs Brest#11
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Brest#11 vs Angers#15
5-1W
03 Oct2026
Brest#11 vs Monza#14
2-2D
20 Sept2026
Auxerre#13 vs Brest#11
2-1L
13 Sept2026
Brest#11 vs Psg#2
0-1L
05 Sept2026
le Havre#18 vs Brest#11
1-2W
29 Aug2026
Brest#11 vs Toulouse#12
2-2D
22 Aug2026
le Mans#16 vs Brest#11
2-2D
16 Aug2026
Nottingham#17 vs Brest#11
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
07 Feb2026
Brest#11 vs Lorient#7
2-0•
19 Oct2025
Lorient#7 vs Brest#11
3-3•
20 Jul2024
Lorient#7 vs Brest#11
1-1•
31 Mar2024
Lorient#7 vs Brest#11
0-1•
20 Dec2023
Brest#11 vs Lorient#7
4-0•
07 May2023
Lorient#7 vs Brest#11
2-1•
09 Oct2022
Brest#11 vs Lorient#7
1-2•
16 Jul2022
Brest#11 vs Lorient#7
1-0•
27 Feb2022
Brest#11 vs Lorient#7
0-1•
07 Nov2021
Lorient#7 vs Brest#11
1-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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