Lorient (FRA) vs UNFP (FRA)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lorient (FRA) favourites at 53% (UNFP (FRA) 27%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 2.02 to 1.37 and 5 wins in Lorient (FRA)'s last 10 matches to 1 for UNFP (FRA). It put over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 63%. Lorient (FRA) won 5-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• UNFP (FRA) have gone 8 matches without a win.
• Lorient (FRA) have won 3 matches in a row.