Lorca Deportiva (ESP) vs Murcia (ESP)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Murcia (ESP) favourites at 56% (Lorca Deportiva (ESP) 21%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.56 to 0.84, 5 wins in Murcia (ESP)'s last 10 matches to 1 for Lorca Deportiva (ESP) and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 48%. Murcia (ESP) won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Lorca Deportiva (ESP) have gone 9 matches without a win.
• They last met on 30 Jul 2025, when Murcia (ESP) won 2-1.
• Only 2 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.