SMO◦ANCE
Match Intelligence
PicksSign in

Football · Serie B · Brazil

Londrina vs Nautico

Thursday, 12 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Londrina favourites at 47% (Nautico 31%, draw 22%). That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Londrina about 41% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 53%.

Key facts

  • Londrina are 18th in Serie B on 32 points from 37 games; Nautico are 15th on 46.
  • Nautico failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away games.
  • Londrina have lost 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 23 Jul 2026, when Nautico won 2-1.
  • Nautico concede 2 goals a game away from home.
Brazil•Serie B
Rank 18 · 32 pts
L3d
L8d
L15d
W19d
D26d
L32d
L37d
L44d
L49d
W54d
2W · 1D · 7L
vs
Rank 15 · 46 pts
L1d
W8d
L13d
D20d
L29d
L31d
D37d
W44d
L48d
D54d
2W · 3D · 5L
Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 01:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 6-2-2
Last 10 matches
1010
13/198/19
1.300.80
1.901.90
7/104/10
2/102/10
8/108/10
8/106/10
2/102/10
3/106/10
9/108/10
7/105/10
5/103/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Londrina at homeNautico away
54
2/50/4
0/52/4
3/52/4
1.800.25
1.402.00
4/51/4
1/50/4
1/50/4
3/53/4
3/52/4
2/51/4
1/53/4
3/52/4
2/51/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Londrina: 1.59
Expected Goals
Nautico: 1.23
Londrina
47%
Draw
22%
Nautico
31%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 53%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.6%
1 — Londrina
2.25▲
Implied 41%
Edge +6.1%
X
3.30▲
Implied 28%
Edge -5.9%
2 — Nautico
2.95
Implied 31%
Edge -0.2%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Londrina · # = league position now
06 Nov2026
Botafogo sp#12 vs Londrina#18
4-0L
01 Nov2026
Londrina#18 vs America mg#19
1-3L
25 Oct2026
Crb#6 vs Londrina#18
2-1L
21 Oct2026
Londrina#18 vs Cuiaba#13
1-0W
14 Oct2026
Athletic Club#14 vs Londrina#18
2-2D
08 Oct2026
Avai#17 vs Londrina#18
2-1L
03 Oct2026
Londrina#18 vs Criciuma#4
0-2L
26 Sept2026
Vila Nova fc#3 vs Londrina#18
2-0L
21 Sept2026
Londrina#18 vs Fortaleza#5
1-2L
16 Sept2026
Londrina#18 vs Ponte Preta#20
6-0W
Team 2 Form
Nautico · # = league position now
08 Nov2026
Nautico#15 vs Crb#6
0-3L
01 Nov2026
Nautico#15 vs Avai#17
1-0W
27 Oct2026
Juventude#2 vs Nautico#15
4-0L
20 Oct2026
Goias#7 vs Nautico#15
0-0D
11 Oct2026
Nautico#15 vs Vila Nova fc#3
0-2L
09 Oct2026
Nautico#15 vs Novorizontino#1
0-2L
03 Oct2026
Fortaleza#5 vs Nautico#15
1-1D
26 Sept2026
Nautico#15 vs Sport Recife#9
3-1W
22 Sept2026
Cuiaba#13 vs Nautico#15
3-0L
16 Sept2026
Nautico#15 vs Operario-pr#10
3-3D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
23 Jul2026
Nautico#15 vs Londrina#18
2-1•
10 Aug2025
Londrina#18 vs Nautico#15
0-2•
24 Aug2024
Londrina#18 vs Nautico#15
3-2•
24 Jul2022
Nautico#15 vs Londrina#18
1-2•
10 Apr2022
Londrina#18 vs Nautico#15
2-0•
22 Sept2021
Nautico#15 vs Londrina#18
1-2•
23 Jun2021
Londrina#18 vs Nautico#15
0-0•
11 Nov2017
Nautico#15 vs Londrina#18
1-2•
22 Jul2017
Londrina#18 vs Nautico#15
0-0•
31 Aug2016
Nautico#15 vs Londrina#18
0-2•

Prediction alerts

Know when the next pick goes live.

Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.

Explore more matches and live updates on the Football board.