Football · Efbet League · Bulgaria
Lok. Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia
Monday, 26 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Slavia Sofia favourites at 49% (Lok. Plovdiv 23%, draw 28%). That rests on expected goals of 1.21 to 0.71. Bookmakers give Slavia Sofia about 27% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 34% and both teams scoring at 40%.
Key facts
- Lok. Plovdiv are unbeaten in 5 matches.
- Lok. Plovdiv are 11th in Efbet League on 8 points from 11 games; Slavia Sofia are 8th on 11.
- They last met on 8 Feb 2026, when Lok. Plovdiv won 2-0.
Bulgaria•Efbet League
vs
Monday, 26 October 2026 at 18:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 5-1-4
Last 10 matches
1010
9/913/8
0.901.30
0.900.80
7/108/10
2/103/10
6/106/10
3/102/10
4/104/10
3/102/10
7/107/10
1/105/10
3/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Lok. Plovdiv at homeSlavia Sofia away
55
2/53/5
1/51/5
2/51/5
1.001.60
0.800.40
4/54/5
1/52/5
0/52/5
3/52/5
1/50/5
2/53/5
1/51/5
1/52/5
2/51/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Lok. Plovdiv: 0.71
Expected Goals
Slavia Sofia: 1.21
Lok. Plovdiv
23%
Draw
28%
Slavia Sofia
49%
Over 2.5: 34%
BTTS: 40%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.2%
1 — Lok. Plovdiv
2.15
Implied 43%
Edge -20.4%
X
3.20▲
Implied 29%
Edge -1.2%
2 — Slavia Sofia
3.40
Implied 27%
Edge +21.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Lok. Plovdiv · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Cherno More#14 vs Lok. Plovdiv#11
0-1W
16 Oct2026
Yantra Gabrovo vs Lok. Plovdiv#11
0-2W
10 Oct2026
Lok. Sofia#12 vs Lok. Plovdiv#11
1-1D
02 Oct2026
Lok. Plovdiv#11 vs Arda#6
2-0W
20 Sept2026
Lok. Plovdiv#11 vs Cska Sofia#2
1-1D
13 Sept2026
Botev Plovdiv#5 vs Lok. Plovdiv#11
2-0L
06 Sept2026
Lok. Plovdiv#11 vs Cherno More#14
1-0W
28 Aug2026
Cska 1948 Sofia#4 vs Lok. Plovdiv#11
2-0L
24 Aug2026
Lok. Plovdiv#11 vs Arda#6
0-1L
16 Aug2026
Lok. Plovdiv#11 vs Dunav Ruse#9
1-2L
Team 2 Form
Slavia Sofia · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Akademik Svishtov vs Slavia Sofia#8
0-3W
10 Oct2026
Botev Plovdiv#5 vs Slavia Sofia#8
1-0L
03 Oct2026
Slavia Sofia#8 vs Botev Vratsa#10
2-1W
18 Sept2026
Slavia Sofia#8 vs Cska 1948 Sofia#4
1-2L
13 Sept2026
Slavia Sofia#8 vs Spartak Varna#7
0-0D
07 Sept2026
Dunav Ruse#9 vs Slavia Sofia#8
0-1W
02 Sept2026
Slavia Sofia#8 vs Levski Sofia#1
1-2L
28 Aug2026
Slavia Sofia#8 vs Septemvri Sofia#13
1-1D
22 Aug2026
Ludogorets#3 vs Slavia Sofia#8
1-1D
10 Aug2026
Botev Vratsa#10 vs Slavia Sofia#8
0-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
08 Feb2026
Slavia Sofia#8 vs Lok. Plovdiv#11
0-2•
15 Aug2025
Lok. Plovdiv#11 vs Slavia Sofia#8
2-1•
30 Jun2025
Lok. Plovdiv#11 vs Slavia Sofia#8
0-1•
19 May2025
Slavia Sofia#8 vs Lok. Plovdiv#11
1-2•
19 Apr2025
Lok. Plovdiv#11 vs Slavia Sofia#8
0-1•
09 Nov2024
Slavia Sofia#8 vs Lok. Plovdiv#11
2-1•
03 Jul2024
Slavia Sofia#8 vs Lok. Plovdiv#11
1-0•
16 Mar2024
Slavia Sofia#8 vs Lok. Plovdiv#11
1-2•
23 Sept2023
Lok. Plovdiv#11 vs Slavia Sofia#8
2-0•
02 May2023
Slavia Sofia#8 vs Lok. Plovdiv#11
1-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Lok. Plovdiv
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