Livingston vs Ayr

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Livingston favourites at 74% (Ayr 10%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.13 to 0.58, 5 wins in Livingston's last 10 matches to 3 for Ayr and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 4. It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 36%. Ayr won 2-1, against the model's 74% for Livingston.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 18 Apr 2025, when Livingston won 5-0.