Lincoln vs Southampton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Southampton favourites at 57% (Lincoln 22%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.76 to 1.00 and 7 wins in Southampton's last 10 matches to 4 for Lincoln. It put over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 56%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 21%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 20 Dec 2022, when Southampton won 2-1.