Liechtenstein vs Lithuania

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lithuania favourites at 64% (Liechtenstein 17%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.99 to 0.87. It put over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 37%. Lithuania won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Liechtenstein have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 10 Sept 2013, when Lithuania won 2-0.
• Only 0 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.