Levski Sofia vs Salzburg

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Salzburg favourites at 65% (Levski Sofia 17%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.06 to 0.91. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 47%. Salzburg won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Salzburg are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• They last met on 5 Nov 2009, when Salzburg won 1-0.