Leiston vs Guiseley

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Guiseley favourites at 53% (Leiston 26%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.87 to 1.23 and 8 wins in Guiseley's last 10 matches to 4 for Leiston. It put over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 56%. Guiseley won 3-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Guiseley have won 3 matches in a row.