Leiston vs Coventry United

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Leiston favourites at 52% (Coventry United 27%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.81 to 1.22. It put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 57%. Leiston won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Leiston have lost 3 matches in a row.