Leicester vs Burton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Leicester favourites at 57% (Burton 18%, draw 25%). That rests on expected goals of 1.39 to 0.63, 6 wins in Leicester's last 10 matches to 1 for Burton and 6 wins from the last 9 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams scoring at 42%. Burton won 2-1, against the model's 57% for Leicester.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 18 Jul 2026, when Leicester won 3-0.