Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lech Poznan favourites at 52% (Jagiellonia 28%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 2.04 to 1.43 and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams scoring at 63%. Lech Poznan won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Lech Poznan are unbeaten in 7 matches.
• Jagiellonia have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 4 Apr 2026, when it finished 0-0.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.