Le Mans vs Brest

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Le Mans favourites at 63% (Brest 17%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.84 to 0.79 and 4 wins in Le Mans's last 10 matches to 1 for Brest. It put over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 52%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 20%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 21 Feb 2005, when Brest won 1-0.