Lazio vs Genoa

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lazio favourites at 79% (Genoa 9%, draw 12%). That rests on expected goals of 2.73 to 0.77, 7 wins in Lazio's last 10 matches to 3 for Genoa and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 42%. Lazio won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 30 Jan 2026, when Lazio won 3-2.