Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made New Mexico favourites at 69% (Las Vegas Lights 13%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 1.96 to 0.68, 7 wins in New Mexico's last 10 matches to 5 for Las Vegas Lights and 4 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 54%. New Mexico won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 10 May 2026, when New Mexico won 3-1.