Lancaster vs Tadcaster

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lancaster favourites at 55% (Tadcaster 25%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 2.02 to 1.26 and 4 wins in Lancaster's last 10 matches to 2 for Tadcaster. It put over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 57%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 20%.

Key facts before the match

• Tadcaster have lost 5 matches in a row.