La Roche vs Aubagne

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made La Roche favourites at 74% (Aubagne 8%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 1.89 to 0.39 and 6 wins in La Roche's last 10 matches to 2 for Aubagne. It put over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 37%. La Roche won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• La Roche are unbeaten in 10 matches.