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Football · Serie B · Brazil

Londrina vs America MG

Sunday, 01 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Londrina favourites at 53% (America MG 23%, draw 24%). That rests on expected goals of 1.49 to 0.87. America MG lead the head-to-head 5-0, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Londrina about 54% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams scoring at 43%.

Key facts

  • America MG failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away games.
  • Londrina are 18th in Serie B on 32 points from 35 games; America MG are 19th on 23.
  • They last met on 14 Jul 2026, when it finished 1-1.
Brazil•Serie B
Rank 18 · 32 pts
L5d
W9d
D16d
L22d
L27d
L34d
L39d
W44d
W49d
L54d
3W · 1D · 6L
vs
Rank 19 · 23 pts
W3d
W12d
L17d
L22d
L27d
L31d
L41d
L45d
W50d
L55d
3W · 0D · 7L
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 0-3-5
Last 10 matches
1010
15/155/12
1.500.50
1.501.20
8/104/10
3/101/10
8/108/10
7/103/10
2/102/10
2/106/10
9/104/10
7/102/10
6/102/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Londrina at homeAmerica mg away
54
2/50/4
0/50/4
3/54/4
1.800.25
1.201.75
4/51/4
1/50/4
1/50/4
3/54/4
3/52/4
2/50/4
1/53/4
3/51/4
2/51/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Londrina: 1.49
Expected Goals
America mg: 0.87
Londrina
53%
Draw
24%
America mg
23%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 43%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.6%
1 — Londrina
1.72
Implied 54%
Edge -0.5%
X
3.60▲
Implied 26%
Edge -1.6%
2 — America MG
4.40▲
Implied 21%
Edge +2.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Londrina · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Crb#6 vs Londrina#18
2-1L
21 Oct2026
Londrina#18 vs Cuiaba#13
1-0W
14 Oct2026
Athletic Club#14 vs Londrina#18
2-2D
08 Oct2026
Avai#17 vs Londrina#18
2-1L
03 Oct2026
Londrina#18 vs Criciuma#5
0-2L
26 Sept2026
Vila Nova fc#3 vs Londrina#18
2-0L
21 Sept2026
Londrina#18 vs Fortaleza#4
1-2L
16 Sept2026
Londrina#18 vs Ponte Preta#20
6-0W
11 Sept2026
Sao Bernardo#11 vs Londrina#18
1-2W
06 Sept2026
Londrina#18 vs Operario-pr#10
1-2L
Team 2 Form
America mg · # = league position now
27 Oct2026
America mg#19 vs Cuiaba#13
1-0W
18 Oct2026
America mg#19 vs Operario-pr#10
1-0W
13 Oct2026
Criciuma#5 vs America mg#19
1-0L
08 Oct2026
America mg#19 vs Fortaleza#4
0-1L
03 Oct2026
Atletico go#8 vs America mg#19
2-0L
29 Sept2026
America mg#19 vs Juventude#2
0-1L
19 Sept2026
Vila Nova fc#3 vs America mg#19
1-0L
15 Sept2026
America mg#19 vs Sao Bernardo#11
0-2L
10 Sept2026
America mg#19 vs Nautico#15
2-1W
05 Sept2026
Crb#6 vs America mg#19
3-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
14 Jul2026
America mg#19 vs Londrina#18
1-1•
09 Nov2019
Londrina#18 vs America mg#19
0-1•
07 Aug2019
America mg#19 vs Londrina#18
4-3•
18 Nov2017
Londrina#18 vs America mg#19
0-0•
02 Aug2017
America mg#19 vs Londrina#18
3-2•
11 Jun2004
America mg#19 vs Londrina#18
1-0•
12 Jul2003
America mg#19 vs Londrina#18
2-2•
08 Oct2002
America mg#19 vs Londrina#18
2-1•

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