Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia

Match preview

The model makes Jagiellonia favourites at 71% (Korona Kielce 12%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.14 to 0.72, 5 wins in Jagiellonia's last 10 matches to 3 for Korona Kielce and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 49%.

Key facts

• Jagiellonia failed to score in 2 of their last 4 away games.
• Korona Kielce are 11th in Ekstraklasa on 18 points from 14 games; Jagiellonia are 9th on 21.
• Korona Kielce have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 25 Jul 2026, when Jagiellonia won 1-0.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.