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Football · Greek Cup · Greece

Kifisia vs AEL Larissa

Wednesday, 02 December 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes AEL Larissa favourites at 46% (Kifisia 30%, draw 24%). Bookmakers give AEL Larissa about 17% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams scoring at 51%.

Key facts

  • AEL Larissa kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
  • Kifisia are 9th in Greek Cup on 4 points from 3 games; AEL Larissa are 11th on 4.
  • They last met on 21 May 2026, when Kifisia won 3-2.
  • Only 1 of the last 7 meetings had three or more goals.
Greece•Greek Cup
Rank 9 · 4 pts
L2d
W6d
W9d
L15d
W22d
W44d
L47d
D50d
L53d
L57d
4W · 1D · 5L
vs
Rank 11 · 4 pts
W1d
W5d
D9d
D15d
L22d
D30d
W36d
W42d
D46d
W51d
5W · 4D · 1L
Wednesday, 02 December 2026 at 19:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 1-4-2
Last 10 matches
1010
13/1513/6
1.301.30
1.500.60
7/108/10
5/103/10
7/105/10
6/101/10
3/105/10
3/102/10
9/105/10
5/103/10
5/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Kifisia at homeAel Larissa away
55
1/51/5
1/53/5
3/51/5
1.001.60
1.401.00
3/54/5
2/52/5
0/51/5
3/54/5
3/51/5
2/51/5
2/51/5
2/52/5
2/53/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Kifisia: 1.04
Expected Goals
Ael Larissa: 1.38
Kifisia
30%
Draw
24%
Ael Larissa
46%
Over 2.5: 37%
BTTS: 51%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 10.8%
1 — Kifisia
1.60
Implied 56%
Edge -26.4%
X
3.40
Implied 27%
Edge -2.5%
2 — AEL Larissa
5.30
Implied 17%
Edge +29.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Kifisia · # = league position now
31 Oct2026
Kifisia#9 vs Olympiacos Piraeus#1
2-3L
27 Oct2026
Asteras Tripolis#8 vs Kifisia#9
0-2W
24 Oct2026
Iraklis 1908#9 vs Kifisia#9
2-3W
18 Oct2026
Kifisia#9 vs Aris#10
1-2L
11 Oct2026
Kifisia#9 vs Panetolikos#10
2-0W
19 Sept2026
Atromitos#5 vs Kifisia#9
1-2W
16 Sept2026
Kifisia#9 vs Panathinaikos#2
0-2L
13 Sept2026
Kifisia#9 vs Levadiakos#11
0-0D
10 Sept2026
Panathinaikos#2 vs Kifisia#9
3-1L
06 Sept2026
Ofi Crete#7 vs Kifisia#9
2-0L
Team 2 Form
Ael Larissa · # = league position now
01 Nov2026
Ael Larissa#11 vs Olympiacos Piraeus b
2-1W
28 Oct2026
Ael Larissa#11 vs Ofi Crete#7
1-0W
24 Oct2026
Athens Kallithea vs Ael Larissa#11
1-1D
18 Oct2026
Ael Larissa#11 vs Panserraikos#16
0-0D
11 Oct2026
Marko#14 vs Ael Larissa#11
1-0L
03 Oct2026
Niki Volos#12 vs Ael Larissa#11
2-2D
27 Sept2026
Ael Larissa#11 vs Paok b
1-0W
21 Sept2026
Pyrgos vs Ael Larissa#11
0-4W
17 Sept2026
Kalamata#6 vs Ael Larissa#11
1-1D
12 Sept2026
Ael Larissa#11 vs Zakynthos
1-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
21 May2026
Kifisia#9 vs Ael Larissa#11
3-2•
22 Apr2026
Ael Larissa#11 vs Kifisia#9
1-1•
10 Jan2026
Kifisia#9 vs Ael Larissa#11
1-1•
30 Aug2025
Ael Larissa#11 vs Kifisia#9
1-1•
11 May2025
Ael Larissa#11 vs Kifisia#9
1-0•
01 Sept2024
Ael Larissa#11 vs Kifisia#9
1-0•
03 Sept2022
Ael Larissa#11 vs Kifisia#9
1-1•

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