Kidderminster vs Barrow

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Kidderminster favourites at 65% (Barrow 14%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.72 to 0.62 and 7 wins in Kidderminster's last 10 matches to 5 for Barrow. Barrow lead the head-to-head 5-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams scoring at 40%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 21%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 4 Feb 2017, when Barrow won 1-0.