Kazakhstan vs Moldova

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Kazakhstan favourites at 61% (Moldova 18%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.81 to 0.84 and 3 wins in Kazakhstan's last 10 matches to 0 for Moldova. It put over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams scoring at 54%. Moldova won 2-1, against the model's 61% for Kazakhstan.

Key facts before the match

• Moldova have gone 10 matches without a win.
• They last met on 29 Mar 2022, when Moldova won 1-0.