Football · Meistriliiga · Estonia
Kalju vs Kuressaare
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Kalju favourites at 59% (Kuressaare 19%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.69 to 0.81, Kalju sitting 4th in the table to Kuressaare's 9th and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. Bookmakers give Kalju about 60% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 37%.
Key facts
- Kuressaare failed to score in 2 of their last 4 away games.
- They last met on 19 Jul 2026, when it finished 0-0.
Estonia•Meistriliiga
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 13:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 9-1-0
Last 10 matches
1010
15/1512/14
1.501.20
1.501.40
8/106/10
6/103/10
8/107/10
5/104/10
2/103/10
2/104/10
9/107/10
7/104/10
6/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Kalju at homeKuressaare away
54
2/51/4
0/52/4
3/51/4
1.400.50
1.401.25
4/52/4
3/50/4
0/50/4
4/52/4
2/51/4
1/52/4
1/52/4
3/51/4
3/51/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Kalju: 1.69
Expected Goals
Kuressaare: 0.81
Kalju
59%
Draw
22%
Kuressaare
19%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 37%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 10.9%
1 — Kalju
1.50▲
Implied 60%
Edge -1.1%
X
4.00▼
Implied 23%
Edge -0.5%
2 — Kuressaare
5.20▼
Implied 17%
Edge +1.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Kalju · # = league position now
28 Oct2026
Paide#2 vs Kalju#4
0-2W
25 Oct2026
Kalju#4 vs Flora#3
2-1W
17 Oct2026
Nomme Utd#7 vs Kalju#4
3-0L
13 Oct2026
Parnu jk Vaprus#8 vs Kalju#4
2-2D
10 Oct2026
Kalju#4 vs Harju jk Laagri#6
0-1L
20 Sept2026
Tammeka#5 vs Kalju#4
1-3W
12 Sept2026
Kalju#4 vs Narva#10
2-0W
08 Sept2026
Kalju#4 vs Nomme Utd#7
1-2L
05 Sept2026
Flora#3 vs Kalju#4
2-1L
30 Aug2026
Kalju#4 vs Levadia#1
2-3L
Team 2 Form
Kuressaare · # = league position now
28 Oct2026
Parnu jk Vaprus#8 vs Kuressaare#9
1-1D
24 Oct2026
Kuressaare#9 vs Paide#2
0-1L
18 Oct2026
Kuressaare#9 vs Levadia#1
0-2L
14 Oct2026
Narva#10 vs Kuressaare#9
0-1W
11 Oct2026
Kuressaare#9 vs Flora#3
2-0W
03 Oct2026
Kuressaare#9 vs Saku Sporting
4-2W
18 Sept2026
Harju jk Laagri#6 vs Kuressaare#9
0-0D
13 Sept2026
Kuressaare#9 vs Tammeka#5
1-3L
09 Sept2026
Levadia#1 vs Kuressaare#9
4-0L
05 Sept2026
Kuressaare#9 vs Narva#10
3-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
19 Jul2026
Kuressaare#9 vs Kalju#4
0-0•
17 May2026
Kuressaare#9 vs Kalju#4
0-2•
21 Mar2026
Kalju#4 vs Kuressaare#9
4-0•
25 Oct2025
Kuressaare#9 vs Kalju#4
0-1•
31 Aug2025
Kalju#4 vs Kuressaare#9
2-0•
18 May2025
Kalju#4 vs Kuressaare#9
4-0•
12 Apr2025
Kuressaare#9 vs Kalju#4
0-2•
02 Nov2024
Kuressaare#9 vs Kalju#4
1-2•
18 Aug2024
Kalju#4 vs Kuressaare#9
5-1•
18 May2024
Kalju#4 vs Kuressaare#9
3-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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